Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park
Newport County

Barry
2 - 1
Newport

McLaggon (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wildig (13')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Barry Town United and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 1-0 Barry
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford 4-1 Newport
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barry Town United in this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawNewport County
45.78% (0.042000000000002 0.04)24.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.83% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.63% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)44.85% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.8% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)67.21% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.28% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)51.73% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)28.22% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)63.92% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 45.78%
    Newport County 29.83%
    Draw 24.38%
Barry Town UnitedDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.03% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 45.78%
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 29.83%