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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
2 - 1
Aberystwyth

Snaith (11'), Hulbert (83')
McDonald (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kirkman (63')
Davies (30'), Hinds (37')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-1 Barry
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
50.68% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 24.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (0.011000000000003 0.01)49.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (0.010999999999999 0.01)71.49% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48% (0.012 0.01)19.52% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.59% (0.023000000000003 0.02)51.4% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)34.56% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.28% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 50.68%
    Aberystwyth Town 24.68%
    Draw 24.62%
Barry Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 50.68%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 24.68%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
1-1
Barry
Woollam (11')
Lewis (87'), Canavan (90'), Thorn (90')
Patten (20' pen.)
Patten (53')
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Aberystwyth
2-4
Barry
Owen (2'), Evans (90+1')
Hartley (75'), Thorn (82')
Snaith (46'), Tomlinson (48'), McLaggon (75'), Hulbert (80')
Lewis (1'), Blythe (56'), Davies (61')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Barry
0-1
Aberystwyth

Hulbert (26'), Veale (64'), Blythe (69'), Cotterill (82')
Press (51')
Cadwallader (90+1')
Bradford (36')
Apr 18, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 9
Barry
0-1
Aberystwyth

Cotterill (41'), Green (42'), Abbruzzese (69')
Cotterill (88')
Davies (4')
Owen (43'), Veale (43')
Mar 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
2-1
Barry
Owen (5'), Davies (79')
(51'), Veale (59'), Owen (82'), Rimmer (90+4')
Day (51')
Press (58'), Wharton (70')
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