Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.