Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1

Feb 2, 2024 at 8pm UK

Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 0
Haverfordwest

Lewis (40')
Kirkman (42'), Walsh (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Whitmore (19'), Jenkins (90')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-4 Barry
Saturday, January 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Haverfordwest County

All competitions

Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-3 Bala Town
Saturday, January 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Haverfordwest County
32.06% ( -0.38)	25.25% ( -0.01)	42.69% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 55.85% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.32% (

-0.09)

47.68% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.12% (

-0.08)

69.88% (

0.08)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85% (

-0.29)

28.15% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17% (

-0.37)

63.83% (

0.37)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72% (

0.15)

22.28% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.27% (

0.23)

55.73% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Aberystwyth Town 32.06%

Haverfordwest County 42.69%

Draw 25.24%

Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Haverfordwest County
1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.06%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.69%