Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.