MX23RW : Friday, March 1 16:33:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Ynysangharad Park
Pontypridd
1 - 2
Caernarfon
Jones (41')
Wright (25'), Hunt (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Clarke (60' pen.), Bradley (75')
Cartwright (53'), Mooney (73')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd Town AFC and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 3-1 Pontypridd
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
43.83% (-2.97 -2.97) 23.33% (0.228 0.23) 32.83% (2.739 2.74)
Both teams to score 62.96% (0.59 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (0.181 0.18)38.5% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.2% (0.19 0.19)60.79% (-0.194 -0.19)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02% (-1.096 -1.1)17.97% (1.091 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.18% (-1.913 -1.91)48.81% (1.911 1.91)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (1.718 1.72)23.24% (-1.722 -1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (2.448 2.45)57.15% (-2.452 -2.45)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 43.83%
    Caernarfon Town 32.83%
    Draw 23.33%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.276 -0.28)
1-0 @ 7.17% (-0.327 -0.33)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.516 -0.52)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.351 -0.35)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.435 -0.44)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.237 -0.24)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.248 -0.25)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 43.83%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.55% (0.129 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.415 0.42)
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.247 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.39 0.39)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.374 0.37)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.215 0.22)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.286 0.29)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.195 0.2)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.83%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 8
Caernarfon
1-0
Pontypridd
Mooney (84')
Cartwright (45+2'), Bradley (86'), Davies (90')

Shepherd (25'), Margetson (69'), Leo Martins (75')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
1-2
Pontypridd
Wynne (59')
Simpson (50' og.), Cummings (72')
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Pontypridd
3-1
Caernarfon
Evans (37'), Wright (74'), Williams (90+5')
Thomas (60')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
2-0
Pontypridd
Bradley (62'), Faux (65')
Cartwright (33'), Gosset (68')

Woodiwiss (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints330089157471
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay321065333254
3Bala TownBala Town31113123841
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU30213244-1236
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon30214452-833
6Newtown AFCNewtown30033842-433
Relegation Round
1Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest30213136-530
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont31203336-327
3Barry Town UnitedBarry30213047-1725
4Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd32102132-1120
5Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth31112048-2819
6Colwyn Bay31022955-2617
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813

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