Dec 2, 2023 2.30pm

1

2

HT : 2 0

FT Ynysangharad Park

Jarrod Wright 25'
Ben Ahmun 41'
Owain Jones 41'
Joe Hunt 88'

Iwan Cartwright 53'
Zack Clarke 60'
Phil Mooney 73'
Sion Bradley 75'

Pontypridd United vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pontypridd United

All competitions

L
L
D
L
L
L

Welsh Premier League

L
L
D
L
L
L

Last game

Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm

Newtown 3 - 1 Pontypridd

Goals scored

23

Top scorer

Ben Ahmun

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

D
L
L
L
W
W

Welsh Premier League

D
L
L
L
W
W

Last game

Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm

Bala Town 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Adam Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Pontypridd United 43.83% ▼ (-2.97)

Draw 23.33% ▲ (+0.23)

Caernarfon Town 32.83% ▲ (+2.74)

Both Teams to Score:

62.96% ▲ (+0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.5% ▲ (+0.19)

Under 2.5 38.5% ▼ (-0.19)

Over 3.5 39.2% ▲ (+0.20)

Under 3.5 60.79% ▼ (-0.20)

Over 4.5 21.5% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 4.5 78.49% ▼ (-0.16)

Pontypridd United Goals

Over 0.5 82.02% ▼ (-1.10)

Under 0.5 17.97% ▲ (+1.10)

Over 1.5 51.18% ▼ (-1.92)

Under 1.5 48.81% ▲ (+1.92)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.75% ▲ (+1.72)

Under 0.5 23.24% ▼ (-1.73)

Over 1.5 42.84% ▲ (+2.45)

Under 1.5 57.15% ▼ (-2.46)

Score analysis

Pontypridd United 43.83%

Draw 23.33%

Caernarfon Town 32.83%

Pontypridd United

2-1 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.28)

1-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.33)

2-0 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.52)

3-1 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.36)

3-2 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.06)

3-0 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.44)

4-1 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.24)

4-2 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.09)

4-0 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.25)

Other @ 3.81%

Total : 43.83%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.46% ▲ (+0.07)

2-2 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.13)

0-0 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.04)

3-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.07)

Other @ 0.32%

Total : 23.33%

Caernarfon Town

1-2 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.42)

0-1 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.25)

0-2 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.39)

1-3 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.38)

2-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.22)

0-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.29)

1-4 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.20)

2-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.14)

Other @ 3.08%

Total : 32.83%

Head to Head

Sep 23, 2023 5.15pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Iwan Cartwright 45'+2'
Phil Mooney 84'
Sion Bradley 86'
Adam Davies 90'

Corey Shepherd 25'
Ben Margetson 69'
Jan Leo Martins 75'

Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Ben Wynne 59'

Aaron Simpson 50' (OG)
Luke Cummings 72'

Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT UWA Sports Park A

Ben Margetson 39'

Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm

3

1

HT : 1 0

FT Ynysangharad Park

Joe Evans 37'
Jarrod Wright 74'
Dan Williams 90'+5'

Darren Thomas 60'

Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Iwan Cartwright 33'
Sion Bradley 62'
Joe Faux 65'
Danny Gosset 68'

Joe Woodiwiss 30'

Form Data

Newtown 3 - 1 Pontypridd

Pontypridd 0 - 3 Colwyn Bay

Bala Town 0 - 0 Pontypridd

Pontypridd 1 - 3 Cardiff MU

Pontypridd 0 - 3 Connah's Quay

Barry 2 - 0 Pontypridd

Bala Town 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 3 Barry

Caernarfon 2 - 4 Pen-y-Bont

Connah's Quay 6 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 5 - 1 Cardiff MU

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Aberystwyth