Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm

5

1

HT : 2 0

FT The Oval

Sion Bradley 4'
Sion Bradley 37'
Adam Davies 49'
Sion Bradley 58'
Zack Clarke 69'

Chris Craven 32'
Dion Donohue 52' (OG)
H 76'
Chris Craven 81'

Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MU - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
L
W
L
W
L

Welsh Premier League

W
L
W
L
W
L

Last game

Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Aberystwyth

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Adam Davies

Cardiff MU

All competitions

W
W
D
D
L
L

Welsh Premier League

W
W
D
D
L
L

Last game

Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm

Cardiff MU 2 - 1 Newtown

Goals scored

35

Top scorer

Eliot Evans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 31.21% ▼ (-0.01)

Draw 24.67% ▲ (+0.02)

Cardiff MU 44.12% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

57.42% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.54% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 2.5 45.47% ▲ (+0.09)

Over 3.5 32.21% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 3.5 67.8% ▲ (+0.09)

Over 4.5 16.22% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 4.5 83.78% ▲ (+0.07)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.4% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 0.5 27.61% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 1.5 36.86% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 1.5 63.14% ▲ (+0.07)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5 79.32% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 0.5 20.69% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 1.5 46.72% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 1.5 53.29% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 31.21%

Draw 24.67%

Cardiff MU 44.12%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.01)

1-0 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.02)

2-0 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)

4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.9%

Total : 31.21%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.58% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.03)

3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.18%

Total : 24.67%

Cardiff MU

1-2 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.01)

0-1 @ 9% ▲ (+0.03)

0-2 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 3.72%

2-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)

1-4 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)

0-4 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)

2-4 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.74%

Total : 44.12%

Head to Head

Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm

0

3

HT : 0 0

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Dion Donohue 62'
Fidel O'Rourke 72'
Fidel O'Rourke 89'

Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm

5

1

HT : 3 1

FT The Oval

Ben Wynne 3'
Ben Wynne 25'
Darren Thomas 42'
Alex Lang 73'
Noah Edwards 80'
Darren Thomas 88'

Eliot Evans 30'
Matt Chubb 73'
Tom Price 82'

May 7, 2022 5.15pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Mike Hayes 45'+1'
Dion Donohue 63'
Darren Thomas 72'

Matt Chubb 78'

Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Paulo Mendes 31'
Byron Harrison 67'

Chris Craven 43'
Adam Roscrow 68'

Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Cardiff International Sports Stadium

Tom Price 84'

Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Chris Craven 15'
Adam Roscrow 53'

Darren Thomas 23'

Form Data

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Aberystwyth

Newtown 4 - 0 Caernarfon

Barry 0 - 3 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 1 - 3 New Saints

Caernarfon 1 - 0 Pontypridd

Pen-y-Bont 3 - 2 Caernarfon

Cardiff MU 2 - 1 Newtown

Cardiff MU 2 - 1 Barry

Colwyn Bay 2 - 2 Cardiff MU

Cardiff MU 1 - 1 Haverfordwest

Cardiff MU 1 - 5 New Saints

Connah's Quay 4 - 0 Cardiff MU