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Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid
Bala Town
1 - 1
Caernarfon
Ukek (11')
Peate (34'), Roberts (45+1'), Smith (61'), Abadaki (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davies (45+3')
Wynne (37'), Donohue (39'), Thomas (60')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-3 Bala Town
Friday, November 17 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-3 Barry
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 68.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 13.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
68.27% (-0.142 -0.14) 18.34% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 13.38% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.89% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.04% (0.052999999999997 0.05)38.96% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.72% (0.057000000000002 0.06)61.28% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)10.42% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.01% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)33.99% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04% (0.187 0.19)40.96% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48% (0.166 0.17)77.52% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 68.27%
    Caernarfon Town 13.38%
    Draw 18.34%
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-0 @ 10.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.23% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.1% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 68.27%
1-1 @ 8.62% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.34%
1-2 @ 3.85% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.81% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.7% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 13.38%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Clarke (75')
Arsan (56')
Peate (41'), Harrison (68'), Shannon (69')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Bala Town
3-0
Caernarfon
Newell (16'), Roscrow (40'), Venables (89' pen.)
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Caernarfon
1-5
Bala Town
Thomas (5')
Kay (10'), Nalatche Mendes (34'), Wall (51'), Shannon (65'), Davies (90+2')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
0-2
Bala Town

Donohue (55')
Simpson (80')
Evans (55'), Ebbe (75')
Feb 12, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
3-3
Bala Town
Faux (49'), Bradley (71'), Jones (84')
Donohue (37')
Ebbe (14', 44'), Evans (86')
Smith (90'), Evans (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints440093157874
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay421165343154
3Bala TownBala Town42113223944
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU40223248-1636
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon41214552-736
6Newtown AFCNewtown40043843-533
Relegation Round
1Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest40313136-531
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont41213337-427
3Barry Town UnitedBarry40313148-1726
4Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd43102232-1023
5Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth41212149-2820
6Colwyn Bay41122955-2618
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813

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