Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Feb 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Colwyn Bay


Walsh (86'), Keyamo (90'), Keyamo (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hill (71')
Akpan (15'), Hart (57')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-0 Haverfordwest
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 1-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.91%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colwyn Bay would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawColwyn Bay
37.14% (0.042999999999999 0.04)23.69% (0.013999999999999 0.01)39.16% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Both teams to score 62.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)39.34% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)61.67% (0.058 0.06)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.34% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)54.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)20.36% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.23% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)52.77% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 37.15%
    Colwyn Bay 39.16%
    Draw 23.69%
Aberystwyth TownDrawColwyn Bay
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.15%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 39.16%

Head to Head
Jan 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 19
Aberystwyth
1-0
Colwyn Bay
Walsh (46')
Thorn (45+4')
Cadwallader (41')

Creamer (22')
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Colwyn Bay
3-1
Aberystwyth
Creamer (13'), Jones (27'), Akpan (49')
Akpan (71'), Rushton (83')
Lewis (45+1')
Thorn (81')