Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.