Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ynysangharad Park

Pontypridd
0 - 0
Aberystwyth


Wright (59')
FT

Jones (32'), Owen (87')
Thorn (77')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colwyn Bay 1-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-3 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, April 6 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
47.59% (0.030999999999999 0.03)25.3% (-0.012 -0.01)27.1% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.6% (0.042999999999999 0.04)50.39% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (0.038 0.04)72.33% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)21.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.93% (0.047000000000004 0.05)54.07% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)33.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33% (0.010000000000002 0.01)69.67% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 47.59%
    Aberystwyth Town 27.1%
    Draw 25.3%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 47.59%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 27.1%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Pontypridd
2-0
Aberystwyth
Green (29'), Ahmun (63')
Shepherd (71'), Ahmun (79')

Lewis (28'), Bradford (58')
Aug 29, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
0-1
Pontypridd

Thorn (43'), Hogan (82'), Davies (87')
Davies (61')
Davies (45+3'), Rees (65'), Rees (65'), Margetson (75')
Apr 1, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Pontypridd
1-1
Aberystwyth
Davies (32')
Turner (90+6')
Nov 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 15
Aberystwyth
2-1
Pontypridd
Evans (4', 32')
Green (31')
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Pontypridd
2-1
Aberystwyth
Jones (26'), Ahmun (75')
Green (58')
Darlington (86')