Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6

Mar 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
2 - 0
Aberystwyth

Hawkins (45+1'), Taylor-Crossdale (58')
Fawcett (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cadwallader (80'), Canavan (90+4'), Woollam (90+1')
Bassey (28')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions

Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Barry
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest County	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
54.78% ( -0.1)	23.42% ( 0)	21.8% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 53.05% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.73% (

0.09)

47.27% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5% (

0.09)

69.49% (

-0.09)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.87% (

-0)

17.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.64% (

-0)

47.36% (

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.02% (

0.15)

35.98% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.24% (

0.15)

72.76% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Haverfordwest County 54.78%

Aberystwyth Town 21.8%

Draw 23.41%

Haverfordwest County	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.77% 3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.82% Total : 54.78%	1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.41%	0-1 @ 6.3% 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.8%