Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.