Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.