Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.