Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
38.92% ( -0.01)	27.04% ( -0.02)	34.04% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 50.59% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.31% (

0.09)

54.69% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.98% (

0.08)

76.02% (

-0.08)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61% (

0.04)

27.39% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.14% (

0.06)

62.86% (

-0.06)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.67% (

0.07)

30.33% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.48% (

0.08)

66.52% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 38.91%

Plymouth Argyle 34.04%

Draw 27.03%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.91%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.03%	0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.04%