League One

League One | Gameweek 46

Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
2 - 1
Cheltenham

Hemmings (45+1' pen.), Freeman (90')
Roberts (50'), Thompson (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (53')
Nuttall (45+3'), Thomas (51'), Shepherd (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Stevenage
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Cheltenham Town
54.41% ( -0.11)	25.14% ( 0.03)	20.45% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 46.14% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.49% (

-0.01)

55.5% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.31% (

-0)

76.69% (

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.6% (

-0.05)

20.4% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.18% (

-0.08)

52.82% (

0.08)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.96% (

0.09)

42.04% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.53% (

0.08)

78.47% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 54.4%

Cheltenham Town 20.45%

Draw 25.13%

Stevenage	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 13.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 54.4%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.1% Total : 20.45%