Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Jake Cooper 83' goal

Millwall vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
Sunderland 0 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
Stoke 3 - 0 Plymouth
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.

Result

Millwall 51.02% (+0.19)
Draw 24.85% (-0.08)
Plymouth Argyle 24.12% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.4% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.16% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 50.83% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 27.28% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 72.72% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 12.83% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 87.16% (-0.11)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 80.07% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 19.92% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 47.94% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 52.06% (-0.24)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 64.19% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 35.81% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.41% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 72.58% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Millwall 51.02%
Draw 24.84%
Plymouth Argyle 24.12%
Millwall
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.54% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.29% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.13% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.99% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.01% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 51.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.9% (+0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.84%
Plymouth Argyle
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.12%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Home Park
  • Mickel Miller 31' yellowcard
  • Julio Pleguezuelo 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny McNamara 52'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 54'
  • yellowcard Allan Campbell 54'
  • goal Zian Flemming 59'
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 89'
  • yellowcard Murray Wallace 90'+4'
  • goal George Saville 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Brooke Norton-Cuffy 90'+7'
EFL Cup
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Den (London)
  • Shaun Williams 64' goal
  • Lee Gregory 84' goal
  • Aiden O'Brien 89' goal
  • goal Jamie Ness 41'
  • yellowcard Ryan Edwards 63'
  • goal Freddie Ladapo 67'
  • yellowcard Jamie Ness 90'
Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
3
5
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jake Jervis 34' goal
  • Graham Carey 56' goal
  • Jake Kervis 85' goal
  • Ben Purrington 91' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Gregory 21'
  • goal Lee Gregory 43'
  • goal Lee Gregory 49'
  • goal Lee Gregory 58'
  • goal Aiden O'Brien 66'
  • yellowcard Byron Webster 93'
Championship
Apr 15, 2006 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marvin Williams 31' goal
  • Marvin Williams 62' yellowcard
  • goal Vincent Pericard 10'
  • yellowcard Paul Wotton 44'
Championship
Oct 30, 2005 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Phil Ifil 87'
Championship
Mar 20, 2005 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Peter Sweeney 15' goal
  • Barry Hayles 56' goal
  • Danny Dichio 63' goal
  • yellowcard Bjarni Gudjonsson 49'