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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Plymouth Argyle

Millwall
1 - 0
Plymouth

Cooper (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-0 Plymouth Argyle

Although it remains to be seen whether Millwall will react positively or negatively to playing with reduced pressure, we cannot ignore their three successive wins. While Plymouth have improved of late, a home victory looks far more likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw has a probability of 24.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle has a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it is 0-1 (7.33%).

Result
MillwallDrawPlymouth Argyle
51.02% (0.188 0.19) 24.85% (-0.07 -0.07) 24.12% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.4% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (0.178 0.18)50.83% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (0.156 0.16)72.72% (-0.155 -0.16)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (0.148 0.15)19.92% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.235 0.23)52.06% (-0.235 -0.23)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.81% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 51.02%
    Plymouth Argyle 24.12%
    Draw 24.84%
MillwallDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.29% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 51.02%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.12%

How you voted: Millwall vs Plymouth

Millwall
70.4%
Draw
14.8%
Plymouth Argyle
14.8%
54
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Plymouth
0-2
Millwall

Miller (31'), Pleguezuelo (63')
Flemming (59'), Saville (90+7')
McNamara (52'), Cooper (54'), Campbell (54'), Leonard (89'), Wallace (90+4'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Millwall
3-2
Plymouth
Williams (64' pen.), Gregory (84'), O'Brien (89')
Ness (41'), Ladapo (67')
Edwards (63'), Ness (90')
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Plymouth
3-5
Millwall
Jervis (34'), Carey (56'), Kervis (85')
Purrington (91')
Gregory (21', 43', 49', 58'), O'Brien (66')
Webster (93')
Apr 15, 2006 3pm
Oct 30, 2005 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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