Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 0
Plymouth

Cooper (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
51.02% ( 0.19)	24.85% ( -0.07)	24.12% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 51.4% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.16% (

0.18)

50.83% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.28% (

0.16)

72.72% (

-0.16)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.07% (

0.15)

19.92% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.94% (

0.23)

52.06% (

-0.23)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.19% (

-0.01)

35.81% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.41% (

-0.01)

72.58% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Millwall 51.02%

Plymouth Argyle 24.12%

Draw 24.84%

Millwall	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 51.02%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.12%