Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 41%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.