National League South Gameweek 26
Apr 8, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Treyew Road
  • Ed Palmer 90'+3' goal
  • goal Arkell Jude-Boyd 24'
  • goal Bradley Ash 38'

Truro City vs Torquay United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Truro City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 6, 2024 7.30pm
Truro City 1 - 1 Aveley
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Tyler Harvey

Torquay United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
Welling United 1 - 0 Torquay Utd
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Bradley Ash

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 41%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result

Truro City 33.42% (-3.10)
Draw 25.58% (+0.08)
Torquay United 41% (+3.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.16% (-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.23% (-0.78)
Under 2.5 48.77% (+0.78)
Over 3.5 29.13% (-0.71)
Under 3.5 70.87% (+0.71)
Over 4.5 14.07% (-0.49)
Under 4.5 85.92% (+0.49)

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5 72.18% (-2.21)
Under 0.5 27.82% (+2.21)
Over 1.5 36.59% (-2.92)
Under 1.5 63.41% (+2.92)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5 76.42% (+1.23)
Under 0.5 23.58% (-1.23)
Over 1.5 42.35% (+1.75)
Under 1.5 57.64% (-1.74)

Score analysis

Truro City 33.42%
Draw 25.58%
Torquay United 41%
Truro City
1-0 @ 8.39% (-0.27)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.47)
2-0 @ 5.37% (-0.53)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.43)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.39)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.22)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.56% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.58%
Torquay United
0-1 @ 9.48% (+0.63)
1-2 @ 8.76% (+0.36)
0-2 @ 6.85% (+0.68)
1-3 @ 4.22% (+0.32)
0-3 @ 3.3% (+0.43)
2-3 @ 2.7% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.52% (+0.17)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-98.81)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 41%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Plainmoor Ground
  • goal Ben Adelsbury 19'