Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Northampton Town in this match.

Result
Brackley Town	Draw	Northampton Town
34.87% ( -0.01)	24.71% ( -0.01)	40.42% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.54% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.46% (

0.03)

44.54% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.1% (

0.03)

66.91% (

-0.03)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07% (

0.01)

24.93% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.44% (

0.01)

59.56% (

-0.01)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.99% (

0.02)

22.02% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.67% (

0.03)

55.33% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Brackley Town 34.87%

Northampton Town 40.42%

Draw 24.7%

Brackley Town	Draw	Northampton Town
2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.87%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.29% 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 40.42%