Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.