League One

League One | Gameweek 2

Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
1 - 2
Barnsley

House (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cosgrove (13'), Roberts (47')
Russell (65'), Cosgrove (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Harrogate
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Barnsley (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Barnsley
35.99% ( -0.64)	25.35% ( 0.09)	38.66% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 56.44% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.68% (

-0.43)

47.32% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.45% (

-0.4)

69.55% (

0.4)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.4% (

-0.56)

25.6% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.52% (

-0.77)

60.48% (

0.77)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.86% (

0.1)

24.14% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.55% (

0.15)

58.45% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 35.99%

Barnsley 38.66%

Draw 25.34%

Lincoln City	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.48% Total : 35.99%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.66%