EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley4 - 2Swindon
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Crawley Town and Swindon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in League Two
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 37.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
38.87% ( 0.02) | 23.15% ( -0) | 37.97% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.77% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
