Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Crawley Town
28.78% ( -0.07)	23.5% ( -0.04)	47.71% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 60.03% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.62% (

0.13)

41.38% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.22% (

0.14)

63.78% (

-0.14)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

0.02)

27.17% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.42% (

0.02)

62.57% (

-0.03)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.43% (

0.09)

17.56% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.88% (

0.16)

48.11% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 28.78%

Crawley Town 47.71%

Draw 23.49%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.78%	1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.49%	1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.22% 1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.86% Total : 47.71%