Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Crawley Town
29.65% ( -0.02)	23.74% ( 0.01)	46.6% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.77% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.02% (

-0.05)

41.98% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.61% (

-0.06)

64.38% (

0.05)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.1% (

-0.04)

26.89% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.78% (

-0.05)

62.21% (

0.05)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.76% (

-0.02)

18.23% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.73% (

-0.03)

49.26% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 29.65%

Crawley Town 46.6%

Draw 23.74%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.65%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.74%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 46.6%