League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Technique Stadium
  • Armando Dobra 15' goal
  • Paul Cook 18' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeff King 17'
  • yellowcard Joel Cotterill 42'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 55'
  • goal Will Wright 64'
  • yellowcard Will Wright 66'
  • yellowcard Ollie Clarke 89'

Chesterfield vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2018 3.00pm
Barnet 3 - 0 Chesterfield
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Will Grigg

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
Swindon 3 - 3 Morecambe
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Harry Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.39%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Chesterfield 37.18% (-0.66)
Draw 23.19% (-0.22)
Swindon Town 39.63% (+0.87)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.56% (+0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.15% (+1.08)
Under 2.5 36.85% (-1.08)
Over 3.5 40.97% (+1.16)
Under 3.5 59.02% (-1.16)
Over 4.5 22.92% (+0.94)
Under 4.5 77.07% (-0.94)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 79.78% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 20.21% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 47.46% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 52.53% (-0.26)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 80.92% (+0.86)
Under 0.5 19.08% (-0.87)
Over 1.5 49.31% (+1.41)
Under 1.5 50.68% (-1.41)

Score analysis

Chesterfield 37.18%
Draw 23.19%
Swindon Town 39.63%
Chesterfield
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.13)
1-0 @ 6.17% (-0.30)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.6% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 37.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 6.76% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.99% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.19%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 8.46% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.67% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 3.74% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 2.92% (+0.09)
1-4 @ 1.94% (+0.12)
2-4 @ 1.55% (+0.10)
0-4 @ 1.21% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 39.63%

Head to Head

League Two
Feb 24, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris O'Grady 2' goal
  • Andy Kellett 51' goal
  • Louis Reed 82' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barry 90' yellowcard
  • redcard Oliver Banks 72'
  • goal Chris Robertson 75'
  • yellowcard Luke Norris 78'
League Two
Nov 11, 2017 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kaiyne Woolery 36' yellowcard
  • James Dunne 45' yellowcard
  • Timi Elsnik 47' goal
  • Luke Norris 90' goal
  • goal Kristian Dennis 56'
  • yellowcard Louis Reed 63'
  • goal Jak McCourt 72'
  • yellowcard Laurence Maguire 89'
  • yellowcard Kristian Dennis 90'
  • yellowcard Ian Evatt 95'
League One
Mar 4, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Sam Hird 74'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jones 84'
  • yellowcard Ched Evans 92'
  • goal Reece Mitchell 93'
League One
Aug 13, 2016 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Gary Liddle 22' goal
  • Jay O'Shea 45' goal
  • Ched Evans 64' goal
  • yellowcard Yaser Kasim 45'
  • yellowcard Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill 60'
  • yellowcard Jamie Sendles-White 84'
  • goal Darnell Furlong 88'
League One
Apr 23, 2016 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yaser Kasim 77' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Herd 34'
  • redcard Charlie Raglan 88'
League One
Nov 28, 2015 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ian Evatt 41' yellowcard
  • Sam Morsy 51' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 72' yellowcard
  • goal Nicky Ajose 3'
  • goal Louis Thompson 14'
  • goal Jonathan Obika 48'
  • yellowcard Adam El-Abd 77'
  • goal Nicky Ajose 80'