League Two

League Two | Gameweek 1

Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
1 - 1
Swindon

Dobra (15')
Cook (18')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wright (64')
King (17'), Cotterill (42'), Smith (55'), Wright (66'), Clarke (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Scunthorpe 0-3 Chesterfield
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.39%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Swindon Town
37.18% ( -0.65)	23.19% ( -0.22)	39.63% ( 0.87)

Both teams to score 64.56% (

0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.15% (

1.07)

36.85% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.97% (

1.16)

59.02% (

-1.16)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.78% (

0.16)

20.21% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.46% (

0.26)

52.53% (

-0.26)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.92% (

0.86)

19.08% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.31% (

1.41)

50.68% (

-1.41)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 37.18%

Swindon Town 39.63%

Draw 23.19%

Chesterfield	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 37.18%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.19%	1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.46% Total : 39.63%