Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Sheffield United
43.8% ( 0.4)	23.54% ( -0.09)	32.65% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 62.08% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.37% (

0.31)

39.62% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.03% (

0.32)

61.97% (

-0.32)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.56% (

0.29)

18.44% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.39% (

0.49)

49.61% (

-0.49)

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12% (

-0.03)

23.88% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.92% (

-0.04)

58.08% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 43.8%

Sheffield United 32.65%

Draw 23.54%

Chesterfield	Draw	Sheffield United
2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.6% Total : 43.8%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.65%