National League | Gameweek 44

Apr 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead
2 - 1
Chesterfield

Hannant (11' pen., 32' pen.)
Harness (68'), Richardson (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Storey (60')
Tyrer (31'), Naylor (51'), Sheckleford (58')

Coverage of the National League clash between Gateshead and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Gateshead
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 1-0 Chesterfield
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

102

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 49.91%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.14%) and 1-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gateshead in this match.

Result
Gateshead	Draw	Chesterfield
49.91% ( -0.06)	21.57% ( 0)	28.52% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 66.95% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.79% (

0.03)

32.21% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.19% (

0.03)

53.81% (

-0.03)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.59% (

-0.01)

13.41% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.66% (

-0.02)

40.34% (

0.02)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.31% (

0.05)

22.68% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.66% (

0.08)

56.34% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Gateshead 49.91%

Chesterfield 28.52%

Draw 21.57%

Gateshead	Draw	Chesterfield
2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.91%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.57%	1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.51% 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 28.52%