Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Gateshead |
| 41.13% ( | 23.12% ( | 35.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.32% ( | 36.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.16% ( | 58.84% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% ( | 18.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.53% ( | 49.47% |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( | 20.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.47% ( | 53.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 1-0 @ 6.49% ( 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 3-2 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.73% Total : 41.13% | 1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 3-3 @ 2% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0-1 @ 6% ( 0-2 @ 4.7% 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.75% |