Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.