National League | Gameweek 43

Apr 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
2 - 0
Gateshead

Mitchell (76'), Ustabasi (88')
Ormerod (33'), Adshead (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's National League clash between Fylde and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Fylde
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Rochdale
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.

Result
Fylde	Draw	Gateshead
44.23% ( -0.25)	22.48% ( 0.03)	33.28% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 66.34% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.84% (

-0.06)

34.16% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.96% (

-0.07)

56.04% (

0.07)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.91% (

-0.12)

16.09% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.52% (

-0.21)

45.48% (

0.21)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

0.09)

20.94% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.32% (

0.14)

53.68% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Fylde 44.23%

Gateshead 33.28%

Draw 22.48%

Fylde	Draw	Gateshead
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 44.23%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.48%	1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.8% Total : 33.28%