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Oldham Athletic
National League | Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
AFC Fylde

Oldham
1 - 3
Fylde

Gardner (45')
Kitching (31'), Norwood (61'), Gardner (65'), Hope (90+5'), (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Haughton (9'), Long (18'), Mitchell (33')
Hosannah (34')
Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dag & Red 0-0 Oldham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Fylde 2-1 Oxford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawFylde
43.09% (-0.273 -0.27)24.74% (0.038 0.04)32.17% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 57.63% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)45.37% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)67.71% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)21.11% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05% (-0.245 -0.24)53.95% (0.248 0.25)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.111 0.11)26.95% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (0.14400000000001 0.14)62.28% (-0.139 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 43.09%
    Fylde 32.17%
    Draw 24.73%
Oldham AthleticDrawFylde
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.09%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.037 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.17%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Fylde
3-0
Oldham
Ustabasi (10', 90+3'), Kay (13')
Whitehead (59'), Barrett (74')

Green (31'), Hogan (31')
Hogan (39')