National League | Gameweek 38

Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead
7 - 1
Hartlepool

Hannant (28' pen.), Evans (47'), Brown (53', 70'), Booty (60'), Whelan (73'), Duffus (90' og.)
Richardson (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Grey (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Gateshead and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 2-3 Gateshead
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
Gateshead	Draw	Hartlepool United
54.62% ( -0.13)	21.92% ( -0.03)	23.45% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 60.33% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.34% (

0.3)

38.65% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.04% (

0.32)

60.95% (

-0.32)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.84% (

0.06)

14.16% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.16% (

0.12)

41.83% (

-0.12)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28% (

0.29)

29.71% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.22% (

0.36)

65.77% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Gateshead 54.62%

Hartlepool United 23.45%

Draw 21.92%

Gateshead	Draw	Hartlepool United
2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.62%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.92%	1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 23.45%