National League | Gameweek 44

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
2 - 1
Fylde

Chapman (17', 54')
Chapman (67'), Wright (69'), Bilongo (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McCullion (85')
Hunter (78'), Long (90')
Davis (90+2')

Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Dag & Red 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 1-3 Fylde
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 48.57%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Fylde
48.57% ( -0.45)	22.49% ( 0.17)	28.95% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 63.84% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.58% (

-0.63)

36.43% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.44% (

-0.69)

58.56% (

0.69)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.62% (

-0.39)

15.38% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.82% (

-0.73)

44.18% (

0.73)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.44% (

-0.14)

24.56% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.96% (

-0.2)

59.04% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 48.57%

Fylde 28.95%

Draw 22.49%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Fylde
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.02% Total : 48.57%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.95%