National League | Gameweek 46

Apr 20, 2024 at 12.15pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
3 - 2
Maidenhead

Whelan (29'), Quigley (31'), Banks (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Abrahams (52'), Lokko (55')
Asare (71')

Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Maidenhead United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 2-1 Chesterfield
Monday, April 15 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

103

Top scorers

Maidenhead United

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Gateshead
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 71.26%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 12.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 3-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Maidenhead United
71.26% ( -0.22)	16.24% ( 0.11)	12.5% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 58.39% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.25% (

-0.28)

30.75% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.91% (

-0.33)

52.09% (

0.32)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.37% (

-0.12)

7.63% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.74% (

-0.29)

27.25% (

0.28)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.21% (

-0.03)

36.79% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42% (

-0.03)

73.57% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 71.26%

Maidenhead United 12.5%

Draw 16.24%

Chesterfield	Draw	Maidenhead United
2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.85% Total : 71.26%	1-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 16.24%	1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 12.5%