National League | Gameweek 39

Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

York Road Stadium

Maidenhead
3 - 1
Hartlepool

Pettit (14'), Beckwith (75'), McCoulsky (84')
De Havilland (82'), Mitchell-Lawson (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cooke (51')
Cooper (32'), Grey (65')

Coverage of the National League clash between Maidenhead United and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 2-2 Barnet
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 2-0 Aldershot
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Maidenhead United	Draw	Hartlepool United
36.04% ( -2.13)	24.48% ( -0.2)	39.48% ( 2.33)

Both teams to score 59.57% (

0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.72% (

0.85)

43.28% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.32% (

0.83)

65.68% (

-0.83)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.3% (

-0.74)

23.7% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.18% (

-1.08)

57.82% (

1.08)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.07% (

1.57)

21.92% (

-1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.8% (

2.32)

55.2% (

-2.32)

Score Analysis

Maidenhead United 36.04%

Hartlepool United 39.48%

Draw 24.48%

Maidenhead United	Draw	Hartlepool United
2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.1% Total : 36.04%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.48%	1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.29) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.48%