Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 34.8% ( | 25.05% ( | 40.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.9% ( | 46.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.6% ( | 68.4% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( | 25.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% ( | 60.62% ( |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( | 22.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.45% ( | 56.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 2-0 @ 5.41% ( 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.8% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 2-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.15% |