National League | Gameweek 44

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Northern Gas and Power Stadium

Hartlepool
2 - 0
Aldershot

Dieseruvwe (19' pen.), Parkes (86')
Dieseruvwe (68'), Crawford (72'), Featherstone (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tolaj (75'), Thomas (90+3')

Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 1-1 Hartlepool
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Dorking
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Aldershot Town
46.9% ( 0)	22.83%	30.27% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 63.46% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.7% (

-0)

37.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.49% (

-0)

59.5%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.69%

16.31% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.11% (

45.88% (

-0.01)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.83% (

-0)

24.17% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.51% (

-0.01)

58.49% (

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 46.9%

Aldershot Town 30.27%

Draw 22.83%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 7.15% 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.63% Total : 46.9%	1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 3.94% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 7.21% 0-1 @ 5.6% 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.27%