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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Barnsley |
| 36.33% ( | 26.22% ( | 37.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.89% ( | 51.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% ( | 72.96% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( | 27.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% ( | 62.59% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( | 26.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( | 61.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 4-1 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.33% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0-2 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.45% |