EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Aug 20, 2024 at 7pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
1 - 0
Palace U21s

Simpson (32')
Goode (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Stevenage and Crystal Palace Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Huddersfield 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Crystal Palace Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool U21s 3-2 Palace U21s
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 14.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Crystal Palace Under-21s
66.9% ( 0.08)	18.26% ( -0.03)	14.84% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 57.37% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.87% (

0.04)

35.12% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.87% (

0.04)

57.13% (

-0.03)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.29% (

0.03)

9.71% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.65% (

0.07)

32.35% (

-0.06)

Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.54% (

-0.05)

36.46% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.75% (

-0.04)

73.25% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 66.9%

Crystal Palace Under-21s 14.84%

Draw 18.26%

Stevenage	Draw	Crystal Palace Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 4.35% Total : 66.9%	1-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.26%	1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 14.84%