Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium

Saints U21s
4 - 0
Palace U21s

O'Brien-Whitmarsh (4'), Pearce (49'), Amo-Ameyaw (53'), Davis (90+3')
Obling (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Akinwale (79')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Southampton Under-21s and Crystal Palace Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Saints U21s 5-1 Stoke U21s
Friday, March 8 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Crystal Palace Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Palace U21s 4-2 Aston Villa U21s
Monday, March 11 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 39.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.92%) and 3-2 (4.85%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Southampton Under-21sDrawCrystal Palace Under-21s
39.9% (-0.217 -0.22)20.83% (0.009999999999998 0.01)39.27% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 74.21% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.49% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)24.51% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.73% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)44.27% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.26% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)13.74% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.98% (-0.198 -0.2)41.02% (0.196 0.2)
Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.03% (0.049999999999997 0.05)13.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.54% (0.1 0.1)41.46% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Southampton Under-21s 39.9%
    Crystal Palace Under-21s 39.27%
    Draw 20.83%
Southampton Under-21sDrawCrystal Palace Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.81%
2-0 @ 3.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 39.9%
1-1 @ 7.5% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 7.32%
3-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.92% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.84% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.78% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.38% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 39.27%