Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium

Saints U21s
5 - 1
Stoke U21s

Obling (9'), O'Brien-Whitmarsh (18'), Davis (22'), Lawrence (40'), Amo-Ameyaw (84')
Awe (56')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Smith (45+4')
Lipsiuc (45+1'), Sparrow (62'), Sidibe (77')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Southampton Under-21s and Stoke City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: WBA U21s 1-1 Saints U21s
Monday, March 4 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke U21s 1-3 Palace U21s
Monday, March 4 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 54.39%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.61%) and 3-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Southampton Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
54.39% (0.048999999999999 0.05)19.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.26% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 73.56% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)22.99% (0.023 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.75% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)42.25% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.94% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.06% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)30.81% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)19.11% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.26% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)50.74% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Southampton Under-21s 54.39%
    Stoke City Under-21s 26.26%
    Draw 19.35%
Southampton Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 3.29%
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.58%
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 54.39%
1-1 @ 6.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 6.84% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 1.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 19.35%
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
3-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.26%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 7pm
Saints U21s
2-0
Stoke U21s
Bree (69'), Ballard (76')
Aug 19, 2022 7pm
Stoke U21s
0-3
Saints U21s

Okagbue (43'), Reddin (75')
Bellis (28', 45'), Pearce (90+1')
Payne (47')
rhs 2.0


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