Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.39%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.