Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 57.05%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wycombe Wanderers	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
57.05% ( -0.94)	21.06% ( 0.23)	21.9% ( 0.7)

Both teams to score 61.32% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.58% (

-0.17)

36.42% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.45% (

-0.19)

58.55% (

0.19)

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.32% (

-0.33)

12.68% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.14% (

-0.68)

38.86% (

0.68)

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22% (

0.53)

29.78% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

0.63)

65.86% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Wycombe Wanderers 57.05%

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 21.9%

Draw 21.06%

Wycombe Wanderers	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.07% Total : 57.05%	1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.06%	1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.02% Total : 21.9%