Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 57.66%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 22.91% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool Under-21s would win this match.