Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.27%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.