Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Elland Road

Leeds U21s
2 - 1
Stoke U21s

McGurk (73' pen., 86' pen.)
Coleman (8'), Carole (90+4'), Jenkins (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lowe (63')
Sparrow (49'), Kershaw (90+8')
Sparrow (78')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Leeds United Under-21s and Stoke City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Leeds U21s 2-5 West Ham U21s
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Man Utd U21s 10-1 Stoke U21s
Saturday, August 26 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 14.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.88%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United Under-21s in this match.

Result
Leeds United Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
69.87% (0.057000000000002 0.06)15.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)14.55% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 67.95% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.97% (0.048999999999992 0.05)22.03% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.06% (0.064 0.06)40.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
Leeds United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.2% (0.024999999999991 0.02)5.8% (-0.0189 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.69% (0.058999999999997 0.06)22.31% (-0.052 -0.05)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.87% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United Under-21s 69.87%
    Stoke City Under-21s 14.55%
    Draw 15.58%
Leeds United Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 5.66% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 5.08%
1-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.43% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-2 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 3.22% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 2.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-3 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.53% (0.006 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
6-2 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 69.87%
1-1 @ 5.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.16%
0-0 @ 1.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 15.58%
1-2 @ 3.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 14.55%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2023 7pm
Stoke U21s
1-1
Leeds U21s
Redfern (90+3')
McGurk (16')
Sep 30, 2022 7pm
Leeds U21s
4-0
Stoke U21s
Fernandez (14', 19', 83'), Perkins (43')