Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.15%) and 0-1 (6.8%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s would win this match.