Premier League 2 - Div 1
Feb 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa U21s
2 - 2
Stoke U21s

Pierre (20'), Borland (71')
Munroe (30'), Borland (84'), Ealing (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Clark (52'), Griffiths (73')
Johnson (57'), Curl (70'), Dixon (76'), Sidibe (90+2')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Aston Villa Under-21s and Stoke City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 4-0 Boro U21s
Friday, February 16 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke U21s 4-3 Brighton U21s
Monday, February 19 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 59.89%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 21.48% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
59.89% (0.138 0.14)18.62% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)21.48% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 70.18% (0.12599999999999 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.12% (0.2 0.2)24.88% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.24% (0.264 0.26)44.76% (-0.267 -0.27)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.58% (0.087999999999994 0.09)8.42% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.74% (0.22 0.22)29.25% (-0.223 -0.22)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63% (0.061999999999998 0.06)23.37% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65% (0.091000000000001 0.09)57.34% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Under-21s 59.89%
    Stoke City Under-21s 21.48%
    Draw 18.62%
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 5.25% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 4.87% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.47% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 3.25% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.21% (0.022 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.61% (0.019 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.57% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.52% (0.013 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.91% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 59.89%
1-1 @ 7.08% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.55% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 1.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 18.62%
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 2.86% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.007 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 21.48%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2023 7pm
Aston Villa U21s
1-0
Stoke U21s
Kellyman (63')
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Stoke U21s
3-3
Aston Villa U21s
Reddin (49'), McGuinness (71', 75')
Rowe (13', 23'), Firth (46')
rhs 2.0


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