Premier League 2 - Div 1
Jan 27, 2024 at 1pm UK
Hotspur Way Training Centre

Spurs U21s
5 - 3
Aston Villa U21s

Lankshear (15', 53', 71'), Ajayi (54'), Soonsup-Bell (67')
Ajayi (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Wilson (2'), Pierre (25'), O'Reilly (90+5')
Munroe (27'), O'Reilly (80')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Saints U21s 2-3 Spurs U21s
Friday, January 12 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 1-1 Fulham U21s
Friday, December 15 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
52.07% (1.033 1.03)20.19% (-0.262 -0.26)27.73% (-0.767 -0.77)
Both teams to score 71.64% (0.371 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.07% (0.717 0.72)25.92% (-0.714 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.88% (0.917 0.92)46.11% (-0.914 -0.91)
Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.4% (0.526 0.53)10.59% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.62% (1.16 1.16)34.38% (-1.156 -1.16)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)19.87% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)51.98% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s 52.07%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 27.73%
    Draw 20.19%
Tottenham Hotspur Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.41% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 5.18% (0.083 0.08)
1-0 @ 4.73% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.6% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 2.91% (0.108 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.09 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.096 0.1)
4-3 @ 1.57% (0.056 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.31% (0.076 0.08)
5-0 @ 1% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52.07%
1-1 @ 7.64% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.79% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.11% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.19%
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.4% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.13% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.73%