Premier League 2 - Div 1
Feb 16, 2024 at 7pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa U21s
4 - 0
Boro U21s

Moore (46'), Patterson (49'), Jimoh (65', 90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fenton (36')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Aston Villa Under-21s and Middlesbrough Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 2-1 Everton U21s
Friday, February 9 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Boro U21s 0-1 WBA U21s
Friday, January 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.33%) and 1-0 (4.75%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawMiddlesbrough Under-21s
43.1% (0.083999999999996 0.08)21.46% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)35.44% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 71.12% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.77% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)28.23% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.97% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)49.03% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.85% (0.010999999999996 0.01)14.15% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)41.82% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)17.15% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.61% (-0.108 -0.11)47.39% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Under-21s 43.1%
    Middlesbrough Under-21s 35.44%
    Draw 21.46%
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawMiddlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.75% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.64% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.3%
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 43.1%
1-1 @ 8.37% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 7.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.43% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 4.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 35.44%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2023 7pm
Boro U21s
2-3
Aston Villa U21s
Fenton (6'), Sivi (31')
Afoka (29'), Wilson (32'), Revan (55' pen.)
Aug 5, 2022 6pm
Aston Villa U21s
3-3
Boro U21s
Wright (16'), El Ghazi (29'), Young (38')
Wright (42'), Chrisene (68'), Lindley (86')
Collins (56'), Kavanagh (63'), Bilongo (69')
Dodds (35')