Premier League 2 - Div 1
Nov 5, 2023 at 1pm UK
Riverside Stadium

Boro U21s
1 - 0
Derby U21s

Kavanagh (52')
Traore (66'), Kavanagh (82'), Hannah (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

C (12'), Fapetu (58')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Middlesbrough Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: West Ham U21s 5-0 Boro U21s
Friday, October 27 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Derby U21s 4-2 Man City U21s
Saturday, October 28 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
65.27% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)17.66% (0.013000000000002 0.01)17.07% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 65.45% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.6% (0.054000000000002 0.05)27.4% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.01% (0.069000000000003 0.07)47.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.01% (0.00099999999999056 0)8% (-0.0011000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.81% (0.0039999999999907 0)28.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (0.093000000000004 0.09)28.86% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (0.112 0.11)64.73% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough Under-21s 65.27%
    Derby County Under-21s 17.07%
    Draw 17.66%
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.79% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 3.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 65.27%
1-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.31% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 17.66%
1-2 @ 4.5% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 17.07%

Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 2pm
Derby U21s
1-5
Boro U21s
Taylor-Hart (36' pen.)
Sivi (43', 49', 88'), McCabe (79'), Matthews (82')
Aug 12, 2022 7pm
Boro U21s
3-1
Derby U21s
Fletcher (1'), Sivi (65'), Howells (87')
Nunn (3')
Grewal-Pollard (46')